OPOUTAGE
PREDICTIONS
LIVE DATA

CON EDISON SERVICE TERRITORY · 7-DAY OUTLOOK

See the storm
before the lights go out.

A transparent, weather-driven view of electric outage risk across New York City and Westchester County.

LAST UPDATEDLoading live weather…
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REGIONAL RISK

CALCULATING

Checking the next 168 hours

PREDICTED CUSTOMERS OUTExperimental planning estimate

OPX-0.3 OUTAGE FORECAST

Predicted customers without power

Peak simultaneous estimate across the Con Edison service territory.

CUSTOMERS
LIKELY RANGECalculating…PEAK WINDOWCalculating…

REGIONAL OUTAGE FORECAST

Predicted customers out by region

Ranked by highest modeled impact during the next seven days. Select a region for weather drivers.

LowGuardedElevatedHigh
REGIONPREDICTED OUTLIKELY RANGEPEAKRISK
Pulling the latest model run…

PEAK-WINDOW DETAIL

Select a territory

Choose a card to inspect its strongest forecast signal.

OPX-0.2 · EXPLAINABLE BY DESIGN

Not a black box.

Each hourly score combines forecast wind gusts, sustained wind, rain, snowfall and atmospheric instability. The outage-number estimate converts that hazard score into an interruption rate across customers tracked and displays a wide uncertainty range until historical calibration is available.

  1. 01Collect

    Hourly public forecast data for eight representative points.

  2. 02Estimate

    Convert compound weather stress into customers potentially interrupted.

  3. 03Explain

    Show the estimate, range, peak window and forecast drivers.

DATA & BOUNDARIES

Live inputs

Open-Meteo forecast aggregation and official National Weather Service alerts. Refreshes every five minutes.

Observed outages

View actual Con Edison outages ↗ for comparison.

Current limits

Predicted customer counts are experimental ranges, not utility forecasts. Historical calibration is still required.