OPOUTAGE
PREDICTIONS
LIVE DATA

CON EDISON SERVICE TERRITORY · 7-DAY OUTLOOK

See the storm
before the lights go out.

A transparent, weather-driven view of electric outage risk across New York City and Westchester County.

LAST UPDATEDLoading live weather…
—/ 100

REGIONAL RISK

CALCULATING

Checking the next 168 hours

PREDICTED CUSTOMERS OUT—Experimental planning estimate

OPX-1.0 OUTAGE FORECAST

Predicted customers without power

Peak simultaneous estimate across the Con Edison service territory.

—CUSTOMERS
LIKELY RANGECalculating…PEAK WINDOWCalculating…
CON EDISON OBSERVED NOW—customers out
ACTIVE OUTAGE EVENTS—
SOURCE UPDATEDChecking feed…Automatic five-minute monitoring

REGIONAL OUTAGE FORECAST

Predicted customers out by region

Ranked by highest modeled impact during the next seven days. Select a region for weather drivers.

LowGuardedElevatedHigh
REGIONPREDICTED OUTLIKELY RANGEPEAKRISK
Pulling the latest model run…

PEAK-WINDOW DETAIL

Select a territory

Choose a card to inspect its strongest forecast signal.

OPX-1.0 · INFRASTRUCTURE-AWARE

Weather meets network design.

Wind, wet-soil and aerial-ice effects are reduced according to each area's assumed overhead share. Manhattan is treated as predominantly underground; the Bronx, Brooklyn and Queens as mixed systems. Underground exposure includes transparent rainfall/flood, snowmelt and winter-salt proxies. Live tide level is not yet ingested. Accuracy balances customer count (60%), predicted range (20%) and peak timing (20%).

  1. 01Collect

    Public weather forecasts, trailing rain and snow, plus official outage observations.

  2. 02Adjust

    Apply explicit overhead and underground infrastructure assumptions by area.

  3. 03Validate

    Track the actual peak and score forecast accuracy automatically.

DATA & BOUNDARIES

Live inputs

Open-Meteo forecasts, National Weather Service alerts and official DSNY salt reports ↗. Open PlowNYC ↗ during operations.

Observed outages

View actual Con Edison outages ↗ for comparison.

Current limits

Infrastructure shares are explicit planning assumptions. DSNY salt reports are event/daily data, not a live vehicle feed. NOAA tide levels are not yet live. Historical calibration is still required.